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重磅!今晚美国公布8月通胀报告,预计8.5%降至8%,延续降温趋势_预期_物价_我的网站

A | Radio shock jock host Howard Stern said he is considering a run for president on his SiriusXM show Monday.,The controversial host of “The Howard Stern Show” said that he will have a narrowly focused agenda, wanting to eliminate the Electoral College and expand the Supreme Court by appointing five new justices.,“The problem with most presidents is they have too big of an agenda,” Stern explained. “The only agenda I would have is to make the country fair again.”,Stern also took aim at the three Supreme Court Justices appointed by former President Trump. “It’s very hard to have a Supreme Court that’s openly lied,” he said. His solution, as many others have proposed, is to expand the court. “I’m not afraid to do it. As soon as I become president, you’re gonna get five new Supreme Court justices that are going to overturn all this bulls***”,Trump to Run for Presidency in 2024 Presidential Election, Ex-Secretary Spicer Says7 August 2021, 12:01 GMT,Laying out the other major piece of his hyper-focused agenda, Stern said he would fix the voting system.,“I am going to do the very simple thing that’ll set the country straight: one vote, one person. No more Electoral College.” Stern also rhetorically asked, “How long can we keep electing people who lost the election?” referring to Trump’s victory in 2016 in which he lost the popular vote but won the Electoral College.,The radio host, who also starred in the 1997 biographical comedy “Private Parts,” said he was only interested in running against Trump, not other Republican candidates. “I know I’ll beat his ass,” Stern said of Trump.,This is not the first time that Stern has hinted that he may jump into the 2024 Presidential race to face Trump. In November 2021, Stern laid out his plan: “I would just sit there at the debate and play that f****** clip of him trying to fix the election over and over again. There is no way I’d lose,” Stern said, referring to the infamous phone call between Trump and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. In that call, Trump pressured Raffensperger to “find” enough votes to overturn the 2020 election.,Stern’s co-host Robin Quivers agreed at the time, saying, “If Trump decides to run again, you have to run against him. That’s my plan, that’s what is going to happen. We can’t leave it to the Democrats.”,Report: Biden Will Run for President in 2024 if Trump Does (And Vice Versa)5 May, 18:50 GMT,It is not clear from the discussion how Stern plans to get on the ballot. He could run for the Democratic nomination if Biden, who has repeatedly said he will run in 2024, decides against running for reelection. Alternatively, he could attempt to primary Biden, though primarying a sitting president is rare and difficult. The last significant attempt was in 1992 when Pat Buchanan tried to primary George H. W. Bush, though he failed to secure even a single state.,Stern could also go the third party or independent route and take on both Biden and Trump at the same time. In 1994, he was nominated by the Libertarian Party in the New York gubernatorial election but dropped out after the state Supreme Court ruled that he would need to reveal his finances.,Stern and Trump were once friendly, with the then-real estate mogul appearing on “The Howard Stern Show” multiple times. That changed after the 2016 election, as their political views grew further apart after Stern said Trump changed politically. Stern said at the time that he was a big supporter of Hillary Clinton and abortion rights.,There’s no word yet on whether President Stern would host a daily call-in show from the West Wing.。

B | 但除此之外,美联储将密切关注食品价格的波动,以寻找潜在通胀正在缓解的迹象,数据显示,一系列商品和服务价格仍远高于一年前的水平,如果这些关键领域物价压力不减,美联储不会轻易放缓加息。但关注随着供应状况的改善传导至消费者,未来几个月食品价格可能会回落。

C | 美联储主席鲍威尔明确表示,在放缓或暂停加息之前,希望看到明确且有说服力的证据表明物价压力正在减弱。

D | 在上周的讲话中,这一点得到强调,表示“坚定地致力于”抗击通胀。不过即便连续放缓,当前说通胀已经过了峰值还为时尚早,特别是考虑冬季能源价格会因为需求再次被推升,作为影响通胀的关键组成部分,很容易将物价再次推向新高。而在通胀公布前,隔夜美股市场因最新通胀预期连续放缓而获得提振,纽约联储的月度消费者预期调查显示,8月消费者认为未来12个月的通胀率料为5.75%,为2021年10月以来最低。消费者还预计未来三年的平均物价增幅为2.8%,为2020年底以来最低。美联储官员曾表示,控制通胀预期是确保通胀率在某个时候回落至2%目标的重要组成部分。旧金山联邦储备银行上周发布的一份研究报告称,美国家庭对未来通胀路径的预期越来越多地影响工资要求。美联储本月大概率加息75个基点,如果通胀连续放缓,但是放缓势头温和,将不足以改变美联储继续大幅加息的预期,所以今晚市场的波动视乎通胀最终结果和市场预期的出入,尤其是核心通胀的变化。如果通胀连续放缓,美债收益率预计跟随向下,美股向上寻求动力,继续刷新本月的高位。而美元昨晚已经先作调整,如果通胀降温超预期,美元可能进一步下探108,届时金价会获得更大动力延续反弹以1740美元上方为目标。

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